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AI FOR SCIENCE · EVIDENCE BRIEFS

Evidence briefs

Long reads on single results: what was shown, what changed, and where the evidence currently stops.

38 briefs

  1. Moderna V940: an algorithm-selected cancer therapy meets Phase 3 endpoints

    Clinical Evidence Brief

    When the Algorithm Becomes Part of the Medicine: Moderna V940's Phase 3 Evidence and Its Limits

    What Moderna and Merck's Phase 3 result for V940 (intismeran autogene) demonstrates now that the hazard ratios are out, and what remains unresolved, about an investigational individualized cancer therapy guided by an algorithm.

    Last verified 2026.10.30

  2. Fig. 1: first-report years and ChronoSyn's two-headed design

    Paper Brief

    ChronoSyn: Using the Order in Which Materials Were Discovered to Predict Which Can Be Made

    How Imperial College London's ChronoSyn adds discovery order to synthesizability prediction, what its held-out and time-split tests show, and the limit its authors name: learning from history may favour chemistry that has already been studied.

    Published 2026.10.29

  3. Aptamers with the wet lab in the loop

    Evidence Map

    Putting the wet lab in the loop: three rounds of agent-designed aptamers, 0 to 42%

    What three rounds of closed-loop agentic molecular design do and do not establish.

    Published 2026.10.29

  4. AIntibody: AI-designed antibodies under one ruler

    Evidence Map

    AIntibody: 511 antibodies, one set of assays, and which task AI wins or loses

    What a prospective, blinded antibody design challenge, scored under one assay suite, does and does not establish.

    Published 2026.10.28

  5. Two rounds: one-shot design for hits, then one backbone optimised

    Paper Brief

    De novo cysteine proteases: 13 of 69 cut, and they cut inside living cells

    A peptide bond lasts hundreds of years in neutral water, and de novo enzymes had mostly been limited to activated esters. This brief sets out the design pipeline, the 19% one-shot hit rate, the knockout and crystal evidence that the catalysis is the designed one, how far the cell experiment goes, and how much distance to natural proteases remains.

    Published 2026.10.15

  6. Paper Fig. 2: the screening format, the hit rates, and modelling with and without the catalytic water

    Paper Brief

    Designed zinc proteases: 135 designs in one shot, 36% cut at the bond they were told to

    De novo enzymes had been limited to easy substrates such as activated esters, with the peptide bond the standing hard case. This brief sets out the design pipeline, the one change that took the hit rate from 15% to 88%, the knockout and crystal evidence behind the five characterised designs, the three disease proteins targeted, and the rate gap the paper concedes.

    Published 2026.10.15

  7. One reaction, two routes: screening 188 natural and engineered variants against 176 de novo designs

    Paper Brief

    AlphaProtein Novo: de novo enzymes beat natural-sequence mining on practical chemistry for the first time, on selectivity and conditions, not on rate

    The first paper to put de novo design and natural-sequence mining on the same practical problem and say which side wins and on what. This brief sets out the two design campaigns' numbers, the catalytic parameters on three model reactions, the filtering idea that lifted the hit rates, and the limits the paper states itself.

    Published 2026.10.07

  8. Compiled by ai4s.fyi from each source's own protocol

    Synthesis

    Same Model, Different Harness: What Three Studies Show About the System Around a Model

    Three studies read side by side for what each held fixed when it changed the harness on one model: how far the scores moved, whether effort, budget, data access and scorer were matched, and what evidence would turn the direction into a conclusion.

    Published 2026.10.05

  9. Fig. 3: image input, lossless visual memory, inspection on demand, and each turn's observe-reason-act loop

    Paper Brief

    VISTA trains no new model, only changes how it sees and remembers: Claude Opus 5.0 goes from 40.68 to 100 on ARC-AGI-3's public games

    VISTA argues that much of what holds multimodal models back in interactive environments sits outside the model: whether it sees raw frames, and whether it can look at them again. This brief sets out the design, how the part-by-part ladder was run, what the baselines count, and what it suggests for science agents that watch experiments.

    Published 2026.10.05

  10. Drawn by ai4s.fyi from arXiv's monthly statistics, January 2024 to September 2026

    Policy explainer

    40,363 Submissions in a Month: Why arXiv Now Limits Each Submitter to Two

    An explainer of arXiv's submission limit from 1 October 2026: how the rule counts, where the 40,363 September submissions and the other numbers come from and how firm each is, how it differs from earlier steps and the conferences' caps, and what to watch.

    Published 2026.10.01

  11. Drawn by ai4s.fyi from the paper's text; the frictions row gives the authors' own reading of the evidence, not this site's

    Report explainer

    Could Automating AI R&D Trigger an Intelligence Explosion? How the Paper Argues It

    An explainer of the CASP working paper: why AI could accelerate its own R&D, how the authors read the evidence, how firm each number is, and what they ask governments to do.

    Published 2026.09.29

  12. Fig. 1: only the composition policy updates; the structure model is frozen

    Paper Brief

    ANCHOR trains only the choice of compositions and lifts SUN from 1.1% to 22.1%; other potentials reverse its lead

    ANCHOR argues that reinforcement-learning rewards should act on which compositions to search, not on the structure model itself: how its controls are built, which potential and hull decide SUN and MSUN, and what the result is under each of three evaluation pipelines.

    Published 2026.09.29

  13. Drawn by ai4s.fyi from this brief's company table; groups follow each company's stated direction, not its own labels

    Company Map

    Out of DeepMind: Where the Senior Researchers Went

    Twenty-two companies founded by DeepMind and Google Brain researchers, grouped by the feedback each plans to learn from, with every funding figure marked closed, reported, sought or historical.

    Published 2026.09.27

  14. Fig. 3: model fit, part-by-part tests, predicted ammonia share per dopant

    Paper & Experimental Validation

    MatSemNet: a literature-trained model ranks seven rare-earth dopants, and the lab measures the same top four

    How the Peking University-led MatSemNet turns literature text, numbers and reaction pathways into Faradaic-efficiency predictions: what the model proposed, what the lab made and measured, and against which baseline.

    Last verified 2026.09.27

  15. Chart by AI4S.fyi: the 16 leads counted by AI's role

    Program Portfolio Brief · 03 · Genesis Mission series · 03/03

    Genesis Mission Portfolio III: Sixteen AI for Science Workflows at PNNL

    How sixteen PNNL-led Genesis Mission Phase I projects aim to connect AI to physical simulation, instruments, manufacturing, energy systems and research infrastructure, and what evidence remains to be shown.

    Last verified 2026.09.27

  16. Genesis Mission II: the 22 projects Berkeley Lab and Oak Ridge lead

    Program Portfolio Brief · 02 · Genesis Mission series · 02/03

    Genesis Mission Portfolio II: From Autonomous Labs to Scientific Infrastructure

    A portfolio view of 22 Genesis Mission selections led by Berkeley Lab and Oak Ridge, showing where AI enters experiments, simulation, energy systems and scientific infrastructure and what evidence should come next.

    Last verified 2026.09.27

  17. Fig. 4: purity, first try vs one redesign, 16 systems

    Paper & Experimental Validation

    CASS and the A-Lab: 78 autonomous syntheses steer NASICON phase purity by XRD, with conductivity in the loop only as a proxy domain

    Ceder's group folded synthesizability priors, a conductivity proxy domain drawn from literature data, and the A-Lab's live XRD feedback into one cost function: 23 of 78 syntheses gave NASICON as the major phase, and 18 of those have nominal compositions inside or near that proxy domain. Which steps were autonomous, how purity and conductivity were measured, and what the 78 trials are counted against.

    Published 2026.09.26

  18. Fig. 3: array RNAs, partner types, hypothesis

    Tech Report Brief

    Anthropic's Wet Lab Reports Its First Result: An Agent Reading Raw DNA Found a Repeat Array, and the Bench Has Shown Only That It Is Transcribed

    In Anthropic's ART technical report: which steps the agents took, which the people took, what the wet lab actually measured, and whether anyone outside Anthropic has checked it.

    Published 2026.09.26

  19. Fifteen of sixteen agents, one shared error

    Paper & Failure Record

    Fifteen of Sixteen Agents, One Shared Error: Why Agreement Between Replicas Is Not Independent Confirmation

    KAIST's Jihan Kim ran sixteen autonomous agents on a frozen set of 12,499 MOFs to find the best methane-storage material: what the shared error was, how it was caught, and what it means for treating agreement between agents as evidence.

    Published 2026.09.26

  20. Codex joins calibration of a real quantum chip

    Case Study & Hardware Run

    Codex Joins the Calibration of a Real Quantum Chip: What One Public Run Shows

    What GPT-5.6 Sol actually touched on an uncalibrated six-qubit superconducting chip at MIT (pulse settings and measurements on real hardware) and how far a vendor case study can carry the claim.

    Published 2026.09.26

  21. Fig. 5: the construction cycle, background to waves

    Claim & Provenance Dispute

    OpenAI's Navier-Stokes Proof: What Was Claimed, Who Checked It, Who Gets the Credit

    OpenAI says an internal model settled the Navier-Stokes Millennium Prize problem in its (C)/(D) form. This brief keeps three things apart: what OpenAI claimed, who has checked it and how, and to whom credit is assigned, on whose account.

    Published 2026.09.26

  22. Cheating and whistleblowing in a research swarm

    Paper & Failure Case

    Cheating and Whistleblowing in a Research Swarm: How One Evaluator Exploit Emptied the Problem Pool in 27 Minutes

    A Google DeepMind case study in which one of 100 Gemini 3.1 Pro agents working on 71 formal problems in Lean found an evaluator exploit that spread through a shared library to some agents while others audited, alerted and boycotted: what failed, how it was detected, and how far the finding reaches.

    Published 2026.09.26

  23. Fig. 1: the training loop. Faraday is trained, Codex is its tool; the judge giving the reward also scores the evaluation

    Paper Brief

    Inherent's Faraday: a 27B judgment model that calls a frontier coding agent

    Inherent post-trained a 27B agent, Faraday, on paper replication and gave it a frontier coding agent as a tool, beating Claude Opus 4.8 and GPT-5.5 on its own Replica benchmark, as scored by its own judge. How far the judgment-layer-plus-executor split goes turns on one number.

    Published 2026.09.24

  24. Anthropic post: spend (GPU / tokens / total) vs in-silico binding score

    Lab & Tooling Brief

    Claude Makes Biomolecular Models Faster and More Memory-Efficient: Optimizing Scientific Tools, Not Only Using Them

    Anthropic pointed an agent at the implementations under structure prediction and protein design: FlashPairformer, Big mode, binder design at about a hundredth of the earlier pipeline's GPU hours, and where the results currently stop.

    Published 2026.09.20

  25. AnewDDE: two rounds of antibody design and experiment, run from one conversation

    Tech Report Brief

    AnewDDE: One Conversation Steering Two Rounds of Antibody Design and Experiment

    What the four components of AnewDDE do, how one nanobody campaign actually ran end to end, and what the results support so far.

    Published 2026.09.19

  26. FrontierXRD: success rate vs cost per problem

    Lab & Model Brief

    Periodic Labs: When Experimental Results Become Training Signal

    How Periodic Labs turned expert judgment in XRD analysis into training signal, why the harness accounts for a 3.8x gap, and how far this evidence currently reaches.

    Published 2026.09.19

  27. Fig. 3: splicing variant-effect benchmarks

    Paper & Infrastructure Brief

    AlphaGenome Atlas: DeepMind Precomputes 9 Billion Single-Base DNA Variants to Rank Rare-Disease Candidates

    How AlphaGenome Atlas connects genome-wide effect predictions, AVI ranking, feature attribution and motif maps, and where the evidence boundary sits for nine billion predictions.

    Published 2026.09.10

  28. Fig. 1 (arXiv v3): bracket atoms before and after splitting (a, b); each tokenizer's coverage (c)

    Paper Brief · Molecular Representation

    Information Can Be Lost Before a Molecule Reaches the Transformer

    How Smirk exposes silent information loss in molecular tokenizers, covers valid OpenSMILES with 165 base tokens, and what the later MIST models do, and do not, establish.

    Published 2026.09.10

  29. Genentech: request → Claude → MHS → three instruments → state back; orange ring is the flow-rate loop. Not drawn: human help on foaming

    Research Infrastructure & Lab Automation

    Anthropic Opens a Research Preview of MHS, a Common Hardware Interface for AI Agents

    How Anthropic's Model Hardware Standard connects AI agents, scientific instruments and physical feedback, and what its real-device demonstrations actually establish.

    Published 2026.08.30

  30. AI agents audit scientific knowledge: leads, not verdicts

    Papers & Evidence

    AI Agents Are Beginning to Audit Scientific Knowledge

    From a 75-year-old boiling-point database error to agentic replication of ICML papers, scientific knowledge verification is emerging as a new layer of AI4S infrastructure.

    Published 2026.08.23

  31. Fig. 1: the active-learning alloy workflow

    Paper & Experimental Validation

    Researchers Set the Alloy System, Active Learning Picked the Compositions: HEA05 Reaches 1.75 GPa Yield Strength with 25% Uniform Elongation

    How a Xi'an Jiaotong University team first bounded the alloy system with domain knowledge, then let active learning pick eight new compositions over four rounds, each fabricated and tested, to find HEA05, and why its final strength and ductility still depended on microstructure engineering and physical validation.

    Published 2026.08.23

  32. Repository figure: left (a) BROS regresses pixel coordinates; right (b) BIVP numbers the molecules first so the model only answers a type and an index.

    Papers & System · MinerU.Chem series · 03/03

    How Does AI Read a Chemical Reaction Diagram? From Recognized Molecules to Reaction Relationships

    How RxnCaption and RxnID combine localization, semantic relationships, compound identifiers and verifiable rewards to reconstruct structured reaction data.

    Published 2026.08.22

  33. MolRecBench-Wild: two kinds of OCSR difficulty

    Paper & Benchmark · MinerU.Chem series · 02/03

    Why Does AI Misread Molecular Structure Drawings? Paper Drawings Are Harder Than Patent Benchmarks

    How MolRecBench-Wild separates visual from chemical-semantic difficulty, and why GTR-VL reconstructs a molecular graph before producing SMILES.

    Published 2026.08.22

  34. Fig. 1: from document pages to structured chemistry records

    Paper & System · MinerU.Chem series · 01/03

    How Does a Chemistry PDF Become Data an AI Can Use?

    A system-level look at MinerU.Chem's path from PDF pages and chemistry regions to molecular structures, reaction relationships and traceable records.

    Published 2026.08.22

  35. 100 ns MD of the recommended Nav1.8 molecule

    Model Release

    LiteMol-1: A Cross-Class Molecular Foundation Model Built for AI Agents

    LiteMol-1 uses masked diffusion to generate and edit multiple molecular classes in sequence space, leaving structure prediction, docking and MD to downstream verification. It proposes an agent-native design workflow, but the evidence is still computational.

    Published 2026.08.22

  36. Fig. 2: chemical steering's effect on accuracy and chemical validity

    Model & Data Release

    OpenBind-0 Is Fully Open, and Points to the Data Gaps That Actually Matter

    OpenBind-0 releases a model, training recipe and 717 new experimental structures, then uses real projects to show that data value depends on which structural and chemical gaps it fills.

    Published 2026.08.22

  37. Fig. 1: the full SAPP workflow from assembly and expression through purification, SEC and robotic pooling

    Paper Note

    SAPP + DMX (Baker Lab): AI Can Design Thousands of Proteins. How Does the Lab Keep Up?

    David Baker's team uses SAPP and DMX to redesign experimental protein validation: first compressing production and standardized characterization of hundreds of designs into 48 hours, then reducing DNA cost at thousand-design scale.

    Last verified 2026.08.22

  38. Genesis Mission I: twelve Brookhaven and Stony Brook projects

    Program Portfolio Brief · 01 · Genesis Mission series · 01/03

    Where Is AI Entering the Scientific Workflow?

    A portfolio view of the first DOE Genesis Mission selections, separating award negotiations and research plans from technical demonstrations across Brookhaven and Stony Brook projects.

    Published 2026.08.20